As the Wall Street Journal recently reported, “Despite the political furor surrounding them, gun shows have little to no effect on murders or suicides in the places where they occur, a new study finds — at least in the weeks immediate following the shows. And the finding holds whether or not the gun shows conduct background checks.”
That study, “The Short-term and Localized Effect of Gun Shows: Evidence From California and Texas,” co-authored by Mark Duggan, Randi Hjalmarsson and Brian A. Jacob, was slated for publication in The Review of Economics and Statistics.
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“Researchers looked at data involving 3,400 gun shows in California and Texas, from 1994 to 2004,” the Journal noted. “Those states were chosen not only for their size — they account for nearly 20% of all gun deaths in the United States — but also because they take opposite approaches to regulating gun shows: California demands background checks and a 10-day waiting period while Texas is essentially regulation-free.”
“Researchers compared rates of gun-related and non-gun-related murders and suicides in the four weeks preceding a gun show to the rates in the four subsequent weeks. ZIP codes were the geographical unit examined, but the authors also ran checks 5 miles, 10 miles, and 25 miles from those ZIP codes. They found no spike in gun-related deaths in either state.”
Source: WSJ 4/27/11
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